Lobos BUAP vs Tuxtla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MEX
2 - 0
LOB
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
LOB
2 - 1
ORI
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PUM
3 - 0
LOB
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LOB
1 - 0
MER
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LOB
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tuxtla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 0
ORI
32%
26%
43%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PUM
2 - 0
JAG
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 1
MER
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CAZ
4 - 0
JAG
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
JAG
0 - 2
VER
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |