Lobos BUAP vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
LOB
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 1
TEC
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 2
LOB
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LOB
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 1
TIJ
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
CAZ
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 2
DUR
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 2
AGU
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
ORI
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
DUR
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |