Lobos BUAP vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
UAT
4 - 1
LOB
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ORI
0 - 0
LOB
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 1
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MER
0 - 1
LOB
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LOB
4 - 0
DOR
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DUR
0 - 1
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MER
1 - 2
CAZ
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CAZ
4 - 2
DOR
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 0
CAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |