Lobos BUAP vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 1
LOB
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
LOB
4 - 0
AGU
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ORI
0 - 1
LOB
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
LOB
2 - 2
DUR
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 1
LOB
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 0
CAZ
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 1
CAZ
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
CAZ
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MON
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |