Lobos BUAP vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
LOB
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 1
ALE
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LOB
0 - 1
CAF
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
LOB
0 - 0
VER
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 0
LOB
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
UDG
17%
28%
55%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
CIM
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
CAF
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 3
CIM
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |