Lobos BUAP vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 1
LOB
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 3
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 3
LOB
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
4 - 0
IRA
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 1
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAF
60%
20%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VER
2 - 2
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
1 - 0
TOR
38%
24%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
2 - 3
REB
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |