Lobos BUAP vs Atlético Mexiquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ORI
3 - 0
LOB
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
LOB
2 - 3
PUM
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
LOB
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
LOB
0 - 0
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
LOB
1 - 0
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Mexiquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 1
ORI
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
PUM
1 - 0
MEX
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MEX
2 - 1
MER
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MEX
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
MEX
0 - 1
VER
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |