LNZ Cherkasy vs Oleksandriya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
10º
10º
13
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
12 | 60 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
2º
|
13 | 55 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 49 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 13% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 37.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LNZ Cherkasy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LNZ
1 - 0
LIV
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
LNZ
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LNZ
0 - 0
INH
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OBO
2 - 0
LNZ
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
LNZ
2 - 1
PFC
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oleksandriya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
PFC
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
LNZ
2 - 1
PFC
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 1
FNB
79%
14%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 3
PFC
26%
28%
47%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FCV
2 - 2
PFC
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |