Cup Last 16
Global 0-3
KF Luftëtari vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Luftëtari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TEU
1 - 1
LUF
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LUF
0 - 3
PAR
31%
30%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
APO
3 - 0
LUF
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TIR
5 - 1
LUF
62%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
LUF
0 - 0
KUK
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
APO
2 - 0
POG
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
APO
5 - 1
SHE
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
APO
3 - 0
LUF
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ILI
0 - 1
APO
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
APO
3 - 1
TUR
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |