Llosetense vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llosetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
BNS
1 - 1
LLO
65%
21%
15%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LLO
2 - 3
SDF
31%
25%
45%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PBL
1 - 1
LLO
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LLO
2 - 1
FLN
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SNF
1 - 2
LLO
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
PCE
2 - 1
MNU
48%
24%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
PCE
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PCE
1 - 0
CAM
47%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
PCE
37%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PCE
1 - 0
CFP
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |