Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-3
Lleida CF vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LLE
4 - 2
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 1
LLE
43%
28%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LLE
1 - 0
BAD
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ONT
0 - 1
LLE
19%
28%
54%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LLE
0 - 1
SAG
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
RSO
1 - 1
ESP
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 6
RSO
19%
23%
59%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ALA
0 - 2
RSO
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
RSO
4 - 4
BET
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
ZEN
3 - 1
RSO
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |