Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Lleida CF vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 1
LLE
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
BAD
1 - 3
LLE
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LLE
3 - 2
OLO
69%
19%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
LLE
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LLE
1 - 0
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 1
LLE
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LAU
0 - 2
CDT
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CDT
2 - 0
PEÑ
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
CDT
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CDT
2 - 2
PBO
66%
20%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |