Llay Welfare vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llay Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 0
LLW
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
LLW
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LLW
3 - 5
RTW
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 1
LLW
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
LLW
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 3
HOL
19%
22%
60%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 0
HOL
14%
21%
65%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
HOL
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 1
LLW
85%
11%
5%
|
62 | 17 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HOL
6 - 0
PRE
80%
14%
7%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |