Llantwit Major vs Trefelin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
TAF
2 - 2
LLA
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 2
ABB
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LLA
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 0
LID
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 1
LLA
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 2
AAF
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
BDG
61%
19%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
LLA
18%
20%
61%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
ABE
74%
15%
12%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
TRE
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |