Llantwit Major vs Pencoed Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 5
LLA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
TAF
1 - 4
LLA
26%
22%
53%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 1
GOY
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 0
RIS
64%
19%
18%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 3
LLA
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pencoed Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PAA
5 - 0
TRE
67%
18%
16%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TON
3 - 1
PAA
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PAA
1 - 3
PON
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
PFC
0 - 1
PAA
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |