Llantwit Major vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 2
LLA
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
GOY
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
YAF
3 - 1
LLA
11%
16%
74%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
AAF
3 - 2
LLA
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 2
BRI
31%
24%
44%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 4
SWA
7%
14%
79%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 6
LLA
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 3
HAV
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
YAF
79%
13%
9%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |