Llantwit Major vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
TRE
72%
17%
12%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LLA
2 - 0
NWC
70%
17%
12%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
LLA
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOY
2 - 2
LLA
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
GOY
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAR
11%
19%
70%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |