Llantwit Major vs Abertillery Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LLA
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 0
LID
36%
23%
42%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 1
LLA
55%
21%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
BRI
8%
15%
77%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
LLA
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Abertillery Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ABB
0 - 3
BDG
34%
22%
43%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABB
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CWM
1 - 2
ABB
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
LLA
10%
16%
75%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ABB
1 - 1
TAF
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +2 |