Llanrwst United vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
80%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
12%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.9%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanrwst United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
RTW
1 - 0
LUF
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
DEN
6 - 1
LUF
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
TNS
6 - 0
LUF
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 67 | 60 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 2
LUF
44%
22%
35%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
6 - 0
LUF
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RTW
4 - 0
CON
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
HOL
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
CON
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
CON
1 - 4
HOL
6%
15%
79%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
MOL
37%
22%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |