Llanos Aridane vs CD Santa Úrsula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
18º
16º
24
10º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 65 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 53 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 40 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 39 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
87.5% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanos Aridane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CDB
3 - 1
LLA
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 2
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
LLA
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
LAN
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ARU
1 - 0
LLA
61%
21%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Santa Úrsula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 0
PAN
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
CSU
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 3
LPA
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 1
CSU
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CSU
0 - 0
SBA
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |