Llanfair United vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanfair United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 3
FLI
9%
13%
78%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
POR
4 - 2
LLA
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
PEN
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
LLA
82%
12%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAE
19%
19%
62%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
78%
14%
7%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 3
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |