Llanfair United vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
79.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanfair United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 0
LLA
65%
18%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BUC
4 - 0
LLA
25%
20%
55%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -3 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LLA
4 - 1
CEF
8%
14%
78%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +10 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 3
FLI
9%
13%
78%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
POR
4 - 2
LLA
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
CON
2 - 3
CAE
6%
13%
81%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 2
CAE
10%
16%
75%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 2
RTW
90%
8%
3%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
10%
16%
74%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 2
RHY
43%
22%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |