Llanes vs Astur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
LLA
20%
24%
56%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 0
URR
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
LLA
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
CEA
46%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CAU
1 - 2
LLA
77%
16%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AST
2 - 1
AND
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 1
AST
42%
25%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AST
4 - 0
MOS
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
COV
2 - 0
AST
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
AVI
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |