Llaneros vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
LLA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
BOG
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CUC
2 - 1
LLA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
LLA
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
UNI
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
5 - 0
QUI
45%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 2
UNI
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
4 - 0
RSC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |