Llaneros vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
LLA
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
LLA
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
LLA
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
REA
4 - 1
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 4
REA
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
QUI
21%
26%
54%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 1
REA
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
TFC
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |