Llaneros vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 2
LLA
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 1
LLA
53%
27%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LEO
37%
26%
38%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
CUC
0 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |