Llaneros vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
COR
3 - 0
LLA
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
5 - 0
COR
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
LLA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
CUC
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 2
QUI
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
CUC
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CUC
3 - 0
CAR
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
LLA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
COR
3 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |