1a B Ap. Playoffs Final
Global 0-1
Llaneros vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
LLA
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 0
QUI
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
CAR
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
LLA
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 0
RSC
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
COR
0 - 0
PAT
33%
27%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
PAT
2 - 2
CUC
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 1
PAT
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |