Llaneros vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 2
LLA
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
UNI
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
LLA
35%
27%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 1
QUI
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAT
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 0
JAG
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
PAT
38%
30%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
3 - 3
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |