Llaneros vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 0
LLA
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 1
LLA
32%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 2
COR
40%
26%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
BOG
2 - 5
LLA
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
MIL
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
MIL
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
MIL
4 - 0
UNI
61%
24%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
EQU
0 - 1
MIL
33%
29%
39%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |