Llaneros vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
11º
3º
11
2º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 31 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 28 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 23 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 22 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 21 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 16 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 15 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
LLA
34%
29%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 0
AFC
77%
17%
6%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
COR
0 - 2
LLA
24%
29%
48%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 1
UNI
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
BJC
0 - 0
LLA
19%
28%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 2
LEO
20%
23%
56%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
LEO
11%
18%
71%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 0
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
QUI
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RSC
4 - 2
LEO
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |