Llaneros vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 0
BJC
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
LLA
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 1
COR
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 0
EQU
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 0
CAR
47%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
BJC
1 - 5
LEO
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
UNI
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
COR
1 - 0
LEO
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
REA
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |