Copa Colombia 1/32
Global 1-2
Llaneros vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
TFC
59%
26%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 0
BOG
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 0
LLA
17%
28%
55%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
ORS
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
LEO
0 - 1
LLA
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 2
HUI
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
JAG
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 0
PER
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MIL
2 - 1
JAG
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |