Llaneros vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LLA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 0
BOG
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 0
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BOG
2 - 1
LLA
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 2
BAR
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LLA
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 4
FOR
46%
24%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |