Llaneros vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 1
BAR
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 0
LLA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
LLA
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 2
LLA
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
FOR
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
CHI
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
AFC
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAR
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |