Llaneros vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 0
CUC
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
RSC
0 - 0
LLA
44%
28%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 2
BAR
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 1
LLA
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 1
RSC
37%
27%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
FOR
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
ONC
24%
27%
50%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
TOL
26%
29%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |