Llaneros vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
LLA
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
LLA
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
LLA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 2
REA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
LLA
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 1
AME
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
CHI
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
FOR
19%
27%
53%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |