1a B Ap. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Llaneros vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 1
LLA
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 3
LLA
40%
27%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 1
LLA
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 0
LLA
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2017 |
CHI
3 - 1
LLA
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 3
LLA
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
CHI
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |