Llaneros vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 3
UNI
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 3
LLA
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 0
LLA
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 2
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
LLA
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 2
AME
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BOG
3 - 2
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
BOG
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 2
PER
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 3
BOG
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |