Llaneros vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 1
TFC
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 1
MIL
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 0
LLA
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 0
RIO
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
SFE
0 - 0
LLA
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOG
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 0
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 0
LLA
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 1
BOG
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
PER
4 - 2
BOG
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |