Llaneros vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
LLA
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 3
BOG
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
LLA
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
REA
0 - 2
LLA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
TFC
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 1
BAR
67%
21%
13%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 3
ALI
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
UNI
22%
26%
52%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |