Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 3-3
Llaneros de Guanare vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
FAL
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
TIT
0 - 0
LLA
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
LLA
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 3
ULA
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 2
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
URE
1 - 0
TIT
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
ULA
2 - 1
URE
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
EST
4 - 1
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
URE
3 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
URE
2 - 0
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |