Venezuelan Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Llaneros de Guanare vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 2
LLA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
LLA
2 - 1
URE
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
LLA
4 - 1
ZUL
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
LLA
3 - 1
ULA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
LLA
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MIN
2 - 2
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
APC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 0
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
MON
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |