Copa Venezuela 1/16
Global 2-1
Llaneros de Guanare vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
MIN
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
LLA
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
TAC
15%
24%
61%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
LLA
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
PDB
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
RDC
0 - 1
POL
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
PDB
1 - 1
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 6
ESC
25%
26%
50%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
DIA
5 - 0
POL
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |