Llaneros de Guanare vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 0
LLA
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 2
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ZUL
3 - 3
LLA
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
CFC
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
LLA
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
TRU
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIN
3 - 0
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
YAR
0 - 1
EST
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |