Llaneros de Guanare vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 4
LLA
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 1
LLA
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 1
MON
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
LLA
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CFC
5 - 0
LLA
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 1
DEP
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
LAL
2 - 2
ESC
32%
23%
44%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 1
POR
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 3
ESC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 2
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |