Llaneros de Guanare vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAR
4 - 1
LLA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 0
EST
32%
26%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ZUL
0 - 0
LLA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 0
ANZ
18%
23%
60%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
LLA
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
ESC
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
MIN
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
ESC
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
POR
4 - 1
ESC
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
31%
24%
46%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |