Copa Venezuela Last 16
Global 1-5
Llaneros de Guanare vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
ARA
28%
29%
44%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
LLA
56%
26%
18%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
LLA
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 0
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
LLA
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
APC
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |