Llaneros de Guanare vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ZUL
3 - 3
LLA
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
CFC
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
LLA
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
LLA
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 1
ZUL
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
TRU
34%
29%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 0
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
ARA
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |