Llaneros de Guanare vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 0
LLA
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
3 - 1
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TRU
3 - 0
LLA
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 0
DEP
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 2
LLA
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ARA
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
ANZ
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
ARA
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 3
LAR
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CFC
1 - 1
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |